IEM Atlanta 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
GamerLegion#14 in the world · win 2:0series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Astralis#9 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageAstralis ban
50%50%
GamerLegion · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Astralis · 0 maps
NukeGamerLegion pick
60%40%
GamerLegion · 1 mapedge GamerLegion +20%Astralis · 1 map
AncientAstralis ban
60%50%
GamerLegion · 1 mapedge GamerLegion +10%Astralis · 0 maps
Dust2GamerLegion ban
50%40%
GamerLegion · 0 mapsedge GamerLegion +10%Astralis · 1 map
InfernoAstralis pick
40%50%
GamerLegion · 1 mapedge Astralis +10%Astralis · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGamerLegion remove Dust2
2. BanAstralis remove Mirage
3. PickGamerLegion take Nuke
4. PickAstralis take Inferno
5. BanAstralis remove Ancient
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:3
GamerLegion 53%Astralis 47%
The model gave 53% on GamerLegion — the map was taken by GamerLegion.
Ancientprediction correct13:8
GamerLegion 57%Astralis 43%
The model gave 57% on GamerLegion — the map was taken by GamerLegion.
Model check result
Model favoriteGamerLegion · 56%
Series resultGamerLegion 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2