CCT 2026 Europe Series 2 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
GenOne#95 in the world · win 2:1series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 2:1
OlyBet#225 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2GenOne pick
50%67%
GenOne · 10 mapsedge OlyBet +17%OlyBet · 2 maps
Nukepossible decider
58%50%
GenOne · 8 mapsedge GenOne +8%OlyBet · 2 maps
AncientOlyBet ban
45%50%
GenOne · 7 mapsedge OlyBet +5%OlyBet · 0 maps
InfernoOlyBet ban
75%40%
GenOne · 4 mapsedge GenOne +35%OlyBet · 1 map
OverpassGenOne ban
38%50%
GenOne · 4 mapsedge OlyBet +12%OlyBet · 0 maps
DefaultOlyBet pick
40%50%
GenOne · 1 mapedge OlyBet +10%OlyBet · 0 maps
MirageGenOne ban
50%60%
GenOne · 0 mapsedge OlyBet +10%OlyBet · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGenOne remove Mirage
2. BanOlyBet remove Inferno
3. PickGenOne take Dust2
4. PickOlyBet take Default
5. BanOlyBet remove Ancient
6. BanGenOne remove Overpass
DeciderNuke (58% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed19:15
GenOne 31%OlyBet 69%
The model gave 69% on OlyBet — the map was taken by GenOne.
Nukeprediction missed8:13
GenOne 61%OlyBet 39%
The model gave 61% on GenOne — the map was taken by OlyBet.
Infernoprediction correct13:6
GenOne 82%OlyBet 18%
The model gave 82% on GenOne — the map was taken by GenOne.
Model check result
Model favoriteGenOne · 68%
Series resultGenOne 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3