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CCT 2026 South America Series 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
BORRACHEIROS#179 in the world · win 2:1
series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 2:1
DAMAJUANA#232 in the world · loss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientBORRACHEIROS pick
55%50%
BORRACHEIROS · 7 mapsedge BORRACHEIROS +5%DAMAJUANA · 0 maps
Dust2DAMAJUANA ban
63%50%
BORRACHEIROS · 4 mapsedge BORRACHEIROS +13%DAMAJUANA · 0 maps
InfernoDAMAJUANA pick
25%50%
BORRACHEIROS · 4 mapsedge DAMAJUANA +25%DAMAJUANA · 0 maps
Miragepossible decider
50%50%
BORRACHEIROS · 4 mapsnearly even +0%DAMAJUANA · 0 maps
DefaultDAMAJUANA ban
71%50%
BORRACHEIROS · 3 mapsedge BORRACHEIROS +21%DAMAJUANA · 0 maps
AnubisBORRACHEIROS ban
50%50%
BORRACHEIROS · 2 mapsnearly even +0%DAMAJUANA · 0 maps
NukeBORRACHEIROS ban
33%50%
BORRACHEIROS · 2 mapsedge DAMAJUANA +17%DAMAJUANA · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBORRACHEIROS remove Nuke
2. BanDAMAJUANA remove Default
3. PickBORRACHEIROS take Ancient
4. PickDAMAJUANA take Inferno
5. BanDAMAJUANA remove Dust2
6. BanBORRACHEIROS remove Anubis
DeciderMirage (50% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed10:13
BORRACHEIROS 53%DAMAJUANA 47%
The model gave 53% on BORRACHEIROS — the map was taken by DAMAJUANA.
Infernoprediction missed13:1
BORRACHEIROS 23%DAMAJUANA 77%
The model gave 77% on DAMAJUANA — the map was taken by BORRACHEIROS.
Anubisprediction correct13:3
BORRACHEIROS 50%DAMAJUANA 50%
The model gave 50% on BORRACHEIROS — the map was taken by BORRACHEIROS.
Model check result
Model favoriteBORRACHEIROS · 60%
Series resultBORRACHEIROS 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3