CCT 2026 South America Series 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
Procyon#119 in the world · win 2:0series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Procyon pick
38%50%
Procyon · 9 mapsedge Mansão Maromba +12%Mansão Maromba · 0 maps
AncientProcyon ban
38%50%
Procyon · 4 mapsedge Mansão Maromba +12%Mansão Maromba · 0 maps
InfernoMansão Maromba ban
50%50%
Procyon · 4 mapsnearly even +0%Mansão Maromba · 0 maps
MirageMansão Maromba ban
63%50%
Procyon · 4 mapsedge Procyon +13%Mansão Maromba · 0 maps
NukeMansão Maromba pick
38%50%
Procyon · 4 mapsedge Mansão Maromba +12%Mansão Maromba · 0 maps
AnubisProcyon ban
43%50%
Procyon · 3 mapsedge Mansão Maromba +7%Mansão Maromba · 0 maps
Defaultpossible decider
50%50%
Procyon · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Mansão Maromba · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanProcyon remove Ancient
2. BanMansão Maromba remove Mirage
3. PickProcyon take Dust2
4. PickMansão Maromba take Nuke
5. BanMansão Maromba remove Inferno
6. BanProcyon remove Anubis
DeciderDefault (50% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct16:14
Procyon 53%Mansão Maromba 47%
The model gave 53% on Procyon — the map was taken by Procyon.
Mirageprediction correct13:3
Procyon 60%Mansão Maromba 40%
The model gave 60% on Procyon — the map was taken by Procyon.
Model check result
Model favoriteProcyon · 56%
Series resultProcyon 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2