CCT 2026 South America Series 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
paiN Academy#182 in the world · win 1:0series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Mirageex-GUARA ban
44%50%
paiN Academy · 12 mapsedge ex-GUARA +6%ex-GUARA · 0 maps
Dust2possible decider
40%50%
paiN Academy · 11 mapsedge ex-GUARA +10%ex-GUARA · 0 maps
CachepaiN Academy ban
38%50%
paiN Academy · 9 mapsedge ex-GUARA +12%ex-GUARA · 0 maps
NukepaiN Academy ban
38%50%
paiN Academy · 9 mapsedge ex-GUARA +12%ex-GUARA · 0 maps
AnubispaiN Academy pick
55%50%
paiN Academy · 7 mapsedge paiN Academy +5%ex-GUARA · 0 maps
Defaultex-GUARA ban
71%25%
paiN Academy · 3 mapsedge paiN Academy +46%ex-GUARA · 4 maps
Infernoex-GUARA pick
30%50%
paiN Academy · 6 mapsedge ex-GUARA +20%ex-GUARA · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanpaiN Academy remove Nuke
2. Banex-GUARA remove Default
3. PickpaiN Academy take Anubis
4. Pickex-GUARA take Inferno
5. Banex-GUARA remove Mirage
6. BanpaiN Academy remove Cache
DeciderDust2 (40% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
paiN Academy 88%ex-GUARA 12%
The model gave 88% on paiN Academy — the map was taken by paiN Academy.
Model check result
Model favoritepaiN Academy · 51%
Series resultpaiN Academy 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1