CCT 2026 South America Series 5 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageMEIA NOITE pick
42%29%
MEIA NOITE · 8 mapsedge MEIA NOITE +13%Blitzkrieg · 3 maps
Defaultpossible decider
67%50%
MEIA NOITE · 2 mapsedge MEIA NOITE +17%Blitzkrieg · 6 maps
AncientMEIA NOITE ban
33%33%
MEIA NOITE · 5 mapsnearly even +0%Blitzkrieg · 2 maps
Dust2Blitzkrieg pick
50%29%
MEIA NOITE · 4 mapsedge MEIA NOITE +21%Blitzkrieg · 3 maps
CacheBlitzkrieg ban
43%50%
MEIA NOITE · 3 mapsedge Blitzkrieg +7%Blitzkrieg · 0 maps
InfernoBlitzkrieg ban
67%50%
MEIA NOITE · 2 mapsedge MEIA NOITE +17%Blitzkrieg · 0 maps
NukeMEIA NOITE ban
40%50%
MEIA NOITE · 1 mapedge Blitzkrieg +10%Blitzkrieg · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMEIA NOITE remove Nuke
2. BanBlitzkrieg remove Cache
3. PickMEIA NOITE take Mirage
4. PickBlitzkrieg take Dust2
5. BanBlitzkrieg remove Inferno
6. BanMEIA NOITE remove Ancient
DeciderDefault (67% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
MEIA NOITE 67%Blitzkrieg 33%
The model gave 67% on MEIA NOITE — the map was taken by MEIA NOITE.
Model check result
Model favoriteBlitzkrieg · 53%
Series resultMEIA NOITE 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 1