CCT 2026 South America Series 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
BESTIA Academy#172 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 1:2
ALKA#129 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2ALKA pick
56%58%
BESTIA Academy · 5 mapsnearly even -2%ALKA · 15 maps
InfernoBESTIA Academy pick
62%67%
BESTIA Academy · 9 mapsedge ALKA +5%ALKA · 8 maps
AncientBESTIA Academy ban
43%47%
BESTIA Academy · 3 mapsnearly even -4%ALKA · 13 maps
MirageALKA ban
44%50%
BESTIA Academy · 5 mapsedge ALKA +6%ALKA · 8 maps
NukeALKA ban
67%55%
BESTIA Academy · 2 mapsedge BESTIA Academy +12%ALKA · 7 maps
CacheBESTIA Academy ban
50%50%
BESTIA Academy · 0 mapsnearly even +0%ALKA · 6 maps
Defaultpossible decider
50%40%
BESTIA Academy · 4 mapsedge BESTIA Academy +10%ALKA · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBESTIA Academy remove Cache
2. BanALKA remove Mirage
3. PickBESTIA Academy take Inferno
4. PickALKA take Dust2
5. BanALKA remove Nuke
6. BanBESTIA Academy remove Ancient
DeciderDefault (50% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
BESTIA Academy 60%ALKA 40%
The model gave 60% on BESTIA Academy — the map was taken by BESTIA Academy.
Dust2prediction correct7:13
BESTIA Academy 45%ALKA 55%
The model gave 55% on ALKA — the map was taken by ALKA.
Ancientprediction correct11:13
BESTIA Academy 46%ALKA 54%
The model gave 54% on ALKA — the map was taken by ALKA.
Model check result
Model favoriteALKA · 52%
Series resultALKA 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3