CCT 2026 South America Series 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
paiN Academy#286 in the world · win 2:0series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:0
DAMAJUANA#232 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MiragepaiN Academy ban
44%60%
paiN Academy · 12 mapsedge DAMAJUANA +16%DAMAJUANA · 1 map
Dust2DAMAJUANA ban
40%50%
paiN Academy · 11 mapsedge DAMAJUANA +10%DAMAJUANA · 0 maps
CacheDAMAJUANA ban
38%50%
paiN Academy · 9 mapsedge DAMAJUANA +12%DAMAJUANA · 0 maps
NukepaiN Academy ban
38%50%
paiN Academy · 9 mapsedge DAMAJUANA +12%DAMAJUANA · 0 maps
AnubispaiN Academy pick
55%40%
paiN Academy · 7 mapsedge paiN Academy +15%DAMAJUANA · 1 map
InfernoDAMAJUANA pick
30%40%
paiN Academy · 6 mapsedge DAMAJUANA +10%DAMAJUANA · 1 map
Defaultpossible decider
75%60%
paiN Academy · 4 mapsedge paiN Academy +15%DAMAJUANA · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanpaiN Academy remove Nuke
2. BanDAMAJUANA remove Dust2
3. PickpaiN Academy take Anubis
4. PickDAMAJUANA take Inferno
5. BanDAMAJUANA remove Cache
6. BanpaiN Academy remove Mirage
DeciderDefault (75% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed13:4
paiN Academy 37%DAMAJUANA 63%
The model gave 63% on DAMAJUANA — the map was taken by paiN Academy.
Nukeprediction missed13:4
paiN Academy 36%DAMAJUANA 64%
The model gave 64% on DAMAJUANA — the map was taken by paiN Academy.
Model check result
Model favoritepaiN Academy · 59%
Series resultpaiN Academy 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 2