CCT 2026 South America Series 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
Keyd Stars#156 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Procyon#175 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientKeyd Stars pick
57%50%
Keyd Stars · 17 mapsedge Keyd Stars +7%Procyon · 6 maps
MirageProcyon pick
53%67%
Keyd Stars · 15 mapsedge Procyon +14%Procyon · 5 maps
Dust2Procyon ban
36%36%
Keyd Stars · 7 mapsnearly even +0%Procyon · 10 maps
InfernoKeyd Stars ban
33%55%
Keyd Stars · 5 mapsedge Procyon +22%Procyon · 7 maps
NukeKeyd Stars ban
33%38%
Keyd Stars · 8 mapsedge Procyon +5%Procyon · 4 maps
AnubisProcyon ban
67%50%
Keyd Stars · 5 mapsedge Keyd Stars +17%Procyon · 4 maps
Defaultpossible decider
60%50%
Keyd Stars · 1 mapedge Keyd Stars +10%Procyon · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanKeyd Stars remove Inferno
2. BanProcyon remove Dust2
3. PickKeyd Stars take Ancient
4. PickProcyon take Mirage
5. BanProcyon remove Anubis
6. BanKeyd Stars remove Nuke
DeciderDefault (60% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed11:13
Keyd Stars 60%Procyon 40%
The model gave 60% on Keyd Stars — the map was taken by Procyon.
Infernoprediction correct14:16
Keyd Stars 27%Procyon 73%
The model gave 73% on Procyon — the map was taken by Procyon.
Model check result
Model favoriteKeyd Stars · 60%
Series resultProcyon 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2