CCT 2026 South America Series 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
Procyon#119 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
32%68%
probability at match start · final 0:2
ALKA#129 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2ALKA pick
36%64%
Procyon · 10 mapsedge ALKA +28%ALKA · 18 maps
Ancientpossible decider
55%50%
Procyon · 7 mapsedge Procyon +5%ALKA · 14 maps
InfernoProcyon pick
58%64%
Procyon · 8 mapsedge ALKA +6%ALKA · 10 maps
MirageALKA ban
67%50%
Procyon · 5 mapsedge Procyon +17%ALKA · 10 maps
NukeProcyon ban
38%55%
Procyon · 4 mapsedge ALKA +17%ALKA · 7 maps
CacheProcyon ban
50%50%
Procyon · 0 mapsnearly even +0%ALKA · 6 maps
AnubisALKA ban
50%50%
Procyon · 4 mapsnearly even +0%ALKA · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanProcyon remove Cache
2. BanALKA remove Anubis
3. PickProcyon take Inferno
4. PickALKA take Dust2
5. BanALKA remove Mirage
6. BanProcyon remove Nuke
DeciderAncient (55% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct8:13
Procyon 22%ALKA 78%
The model gave 78% on ALKA — the map was taken by ALKA.
Infernoprediction correct20:22
Procyon 47%ALKA 53%
The model gave 53% on ALKA — the map was taken by ALKA.
Model check result
Model favoriteALKA · 68%
Series resultALKA 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2