CCT 2026 South America Series 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
Bounty Hunters#74 in the world · win 2:1series probability
17%83%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Imperial#51 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageImperial pick
50%70%
Bounty Hunters · 12 mapsedge Imperial +20%Imperial · 19 maps
CacheBounty Hunters pick
56%67%
Bounty Hunters · 12 mapsedge Imperial +11%Imperial · 11 maps
Nukepossible decider
62%72%
Bounty Hunters · 9 mapsedge Imperial +10%Imperial · 14 maps
InfernoBounty Hunters ban
50%70%
Bounty Hunters · 0 mapsedge Imperial +20%Imperial · 19 maps
Dust2Bounty Hunters ban
40%63%
Bounty Hunters · 6 mapsedge Imperial +23%Imperial · 12 maps
AnubisImperial ban
57%56%
Bounty Hunters · 3 mapsnearly even +1%Imperial · 5 maps
AncientImperial ban
27%50%
Bounty Hunters · 7 mapsedge Imperial +23%Imperial · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBounty Hunters remove Inferno
2. BanImperial remove Ancient
3. PickBounty Hunters take Cache
4. PickImperial take Mirage
5. BanImperial remove Anubis
6. BanBounty Hunters remove Dust2
DeciderNuke (62% / 72%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct10:13
Bounty Hunters 33%Imperial 67%
The model gave 67% on Imperial — the map was taken by Imperial.
Nukeprediction missed13:11
Bounty Hunters 35%Imperial 65%
The model gave 65% on Imperial — the map was taken by Bounty Hunters.
Dust2prediction missed13:8
Bounty Hunters 29%Imperial 71%
The model gave 71% on Imperial — the map was taken by Bounty Hunters.
Model check result
Model favoriteImperial · 83%
Series resultBounty Hunters 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3