CCT 2026 South America Series 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
Galorys#68 in the world · win 2:0series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 2:0
ALKA#129 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2ALKA pick
42%65%
Galorys · 8 mapsedge ALKA +23%ALKA · 19 maps
AncientGalorys pick
77%50%
Galorys · 9 mapsedge Galorys +27%ALKA · 14 maps
InfernoGalorys ban
43%67%
Galorys · 3 mapsedge ALKA +24%ALKA · 11 maps
NukeALKA ban
75%55%
Galorys · 4 mapsedge Galorys +20%ALKA · 7 maps
MirageGalorys ban
50%50%
Galorys · 0 mapsnearly even +0%ALKA · 10 maps
Cachepossible decider
50%50%
Galorys · 2 mapsnearly even +0%ALKA · 6 maps
AnubisALKA ban
55%50%
Galorys · 7 mapsedge Galorys +5%ALKA · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGalorys remove Mirage
2. BanALKA remove Anubis
3. PickGalorys take Ancient
4. PickALKA take Dust2
5. BanALKA remove Nuke
6. BanGalorys remove Inferno
DeciderCache (50% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct13:10
Galorys 79%ALKA 21%
The model gave 79% on Galorys — the map was taken by Galorys.
Dust2prediction missed13:1
Galorys 25%ALKA 75%
The model gave 75% on ALKA — the map was taken by Galorys.
Model check result
Model favoriteGalorys · 56%
Series resultGalorys 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2