CCT 2026 Contenders Europe Series 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
MAYBE#162 in the world · win 1:0series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 1:0
FORZE Reload#166 in the world · loss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageMAYBE pick
57%43%
MAYBE · 3 mapsedge MAYBE +14%FORZE Reload · 3 maps
AncientMAYBE ban
38%60%
MAYBE · 4 mapsedge FORZE Reload +22%FORZE Reload · 1 map
AnubisFORZE Reload ban
50%60%
MAYBE · 2 mapsedge FORZE Reload +10%FORZE Reload · 1 map
CacheFORZE Reload pick
50%57%
MAYBE · 0 mapsedge FORZE Reload +7%FORZE Reload · 3 maps
Dust2FORZE Reload ban
33%40%
MAYBE · 2 mapsedge FORZE Reload +7%FORZE Reload · 1 map
NukeMAYBE ban
60%67%
MAYBE · 1 mapedge FORZE Reload +7%FORZE Reload · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMAYBE remove Nuke
2. BanFORZE Reload remove Anubis
3. PickMAYBE take Mirage
4. PickFORZE Reload take Cache
5. BanFORZE Reload remove Dust2
6. BanMAYBE remove Ancient
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
MAYBE 50%FORZE Reload 50%
The model gave 50% on MAYBE — the map was taken by MAYBE.
Model check result
Model favoriteFORZE Reload · 53%
Series resultMAYBE 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 1