Hero Esports Asian Champions League 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Chinggis Warriors#92 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 0:2
5star#97 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Inferno5star pick
60%60%
Chinggis Warriors · 1 mapnearly even +0%5star · 1 map
AncientChinggis Warriors ban
50%60%
Chinggis Warriors · 0 mapsedge 5star +10%5star · 1 map
Dust2Chinggis Warriors pick
50%40%
Chinggis Warriors · 0 mapsedge Chinggis Warriors +10%5star · 1 map
Nuke5star ban
60%50%
Chinggis Warriors · 1 mapedge Chinggis Warriors +10%5star · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanChinggis Warriors remove Ancient
2. Ban5star remove Nuke
3. PickChinggis Warriors take Dust2
4. Pick5star take Inferno
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed7:13
Chinggis Warriors 63%5star 37%
The model gave 63% on Chinggis Warriors — the map was taken by 5star.
Infernoprediction correct10:13
Chinggis Warriors 47%5star 53%
The model gave 53% on 5star — the map was taken by 5star.
Model check result
Model favoriteChinggis Warriors · 53%
Series result5star 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2