Hero Esports Asian Champions League 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Chinggis Warriors#116 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 0:2
5star#35 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Inferno5star pick
50%71%
Chinggis Warriors · 4 mapsedge 5star +21%5star · 3 maps
AncientChinggis Warriors pick
57%57%
Chinggis Warriors · 3 mapsnearly even +0%5star · 3 maps
Dust2Chinggis Warriors ban
50%43%
Chinggis Warriors · 2 mapsedge Chinggis Warriors +7%5star · 3 maps
Nukepossible decider
63%60%
Chinggis Warriors · 4 mapsnearly even +3%5star · 1 map
Overpass5star ban
33%40%
Chinggis Warriors · 2 mapsedge 5star +7%5star · 1 map
AnubisChinggis Warriors ban
50%50%
Chinggis Warriors · 0 mapsnearly even +0%5star · 2 maps
Default5star ban
67%50%
Chinggis Warriors · 2 mapsedge Chinggis Warriors +17%5star · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanChinggis Warriors remove Anubis
2. Ban5star remove Default
3. PickChinggis Warriors take Ancient
4. Pick5star take Inferno
5. Ban5star remove Overpass
6. BanChinggis Warriors remove Dust2
DeciderNuke (63% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed7:13
Chinggis Warriors 56%5star 44%
The model gave 56% on Chinggis Warriors — the map was taken by 5star.
Infernoprediction correct10:13
Chinggis Warriors 26%5star 74%
The model gave 74% on 5star — the map was taken by 5star.
Model check result
Model favoriteChinggis Warriors · 51%
Series result5star 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2