CCT 2026 Europe Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Nemiga#22 in the world · win 2:1series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeNemiga ban
63%75%
Nemiga · 4 mapsedge ex-RUBY +12%ex-RUBY · 4 maps
Dust2Nemiga ban
50%67%
Nemiga · 2 mapsedge ex-RUBY +17%ex-RUBY · 5 maps
Mirageex-RUBY pick
50%57%
Nemiga · 4 mapsedge ex-RUBY +7%ex-RUBY · 3 maps
OverpassNemiga pick
78%50%
Nemiga · 5 mapsedge Nemiga +28%ex-RUBY · 2 maps
Ancientex-RUBY ban
43%33%
Nemiga · 3 mapsedge Nemiga +10%ex-RUBY · 2 maps
Anubisex-RUBY ban
43%50%
Nemiga · 3 mapsedge ex-RUBY +7%ex-RUBY · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNemiga remove Dust2
2. Banex-RUBY remove Anubis
3. PickNemiga take Overpass
4. Pickex-RUBY take Mirage
5. Banex-RUBY remove Ancient
6. BanNemiga remove Nuke
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Overpassprediction correct13:8
Nemiga 80%ex-RUBY 20%
The model gave 80% on Nemiga — the map was taken by Nemiga.
Mirageprediction correct2:13
Nemiga 40%ex-RUBY 60%
The model gave 60% on ex-RUBY — the map was taken by ex-RUBY.
Ancientprediction correct16:13
Nemiga 60%ex-RUBY 40%
The model gave 60% on Nemiga — the map was taken by Nemiga.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga · 66%
Series resultNemiga 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3