Hero Esports Asian Champions League 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Chinggis Warriors#116 in the world · win 2:0series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Ground Zero#139 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeGround Zero pick
57%50%
Chinggis Warriors · 3 mapsedge Chinggis Warriors +7%Ground Zero · 4 maps
InfernoChinggis Warriors ban
43%57%
Chinggis Warriors · 3 mapsedge Ground Zero +14%Ground Zero · 3 maps
Miragepossible decider
33%50%
Chinggis Warriors · 2 mapsedge Ground Zero +17%Ground Zero · 4 maps
Dust2Chinggis Warriors pick
50%50%
Chinggis Warriors · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Ground Zero · 2 maps
AncientGround Zero ban
57%50%
Chinggis Warriors · 3 mapsedge Chinggis Warriors +7%Ground Zero · 0 maps
AnubisChinggis Warriors ban
50%43%
Chinggis Warriors · 0 mapsedge Chinggis Warriors +7%Ground Zero · 3 maps
DefaultGround Zero ban
67%50%
Chinggis Warriors · 2 mapsedge Chinggis Warriors +17%Ground Zero · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanChinggis Warriors remove Anubis
2. BanGround Zero remove Ancient
3. PickChinggis Warriors take Dust2
4. PickGround Zero take Nuke
5. BanGround Zero remove Default
6. BanChinggis Warriors remove Inferno
DeciderMirage (33% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct13:6
Chinggis Warriors 60%Ground Zero 40%
The model gave 60% on Chinggis Warriors — the map was taken by Chinggis Warriors.
Infernoprediction missed13:4
Chinggis Warriors 33%Ground Zero 67%
The model gave 67% on Ground Zero — the map was taken by Chinggis Warriors.
Model check result
Model favoriteChinggis Warriors · 62%
Series resultChinggis Warriors 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2