BetBoom Storm Season 3 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 2:0
paiN Academy#286 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2paiN Academy ban
70%29%
UNO MILLE · 6 mapsedge UNO MILLE +41%paiN Academy · 3 maps
MiragepaiN Academy pick
43%57%
UNO MILLE · 3 mapsedge paiN Academy +14%paiN Academy · 3 maps
OverpassUNO MILLE pick
71%50%
UNO MILLE · 3 mapsedge UNO MILLE +21%paiN Academy · 2 maps
InfernopaiN Academy ban
57%60%
UNO MILLE · 3 mapsnearly even -3%paiN Academy · 1 map
AnubisUNO MILLE ban
60%50%
UNO MILLE · 1 mapedge UNO MILLE +10%paiN Academy · 2 maps
Defaultpossible decider
50%40%
UNO MILLE · 2 mapsedge UNO MILLE +10%paiN Academy · 1 map
NukeUNO MILLE ban
60%60%
UNO MILLE · 1 mapnearly even +0%paiN Academy · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanUNO MILLE remove Nuke
2. BanpaiN Academy remove Dust2
3. PickUNO MILLE take Overpass
4. PickpaiN Academy take Mirage
5. BanpaiN Academy remove Inferno
6. BanUNO MILLE remove Anubis
DeciderDefault (50% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed13:11
UNO MILLE 33%paiN Academy 67%
The model gave 67% on paiN Academy — the map was taken by UNO MILLE.
Dust2prediction correct13:11
UNO MILLE 87%paiN Academy 13%
The model gave 87% on UNO MILLE — the map was taken by UNO MILLE.
Model check result
Model favoriteUNO MILLE · 63%
Series resultUNO MILLE 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2