CCT 2026 Europe Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
HOTU#41 in the world · win 2:1series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 2:1
INOX Division#66 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeHOTU pick
50%57%
HOTU · 0 mapsedge INOX Division +7%INOX Division · 10 maps
Dust2HOTU ban
50%69%
HOTU · 0 mapsedge INOX Division +19%INOX Division · 9 maps
InfernoINOX Division ban
50%58%
HOTU · 0 mapsedge INOX Division +8%INOX Division · 8 maps
OverpassINOX Division pick
50%64%
HOTU · 0 mapsedge INOX Division +14%INOX Division · 7 maps
AncientHOTU ban
50%75%
HOTU · 0 mapsedge INOX Division +25%INOX Division · 4 maps
AnubisINOX Division ban
50%50%
HOTU · 0 mapsnearly even +0%INOX Division · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanHOTU remove Ancient
2. BanINOX Division remove Anubis
3. PickHOTU take Nuke
4. PickINOX Division take Overpass
5. BanINOX Division remove Inferno
6. BanHOTU remove Dust2
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct10:13
HOTU 40%INOX Division 60%
The model gave 60% on INOX Division — the map was taken by INOX Division.
Dust2prediction missed25:22
HOTU 33%INOX Division 67%
The model gave 67% on INOX Division — the map was taken by HOTU.
Ancientprediction missed13:6
HOTU 25%INOX Division 75%
The model gave 75% on INOX Division — the map was taken by HOTU.
Model check result
Model favoriteHOTU · 65%
Series resultHOTU 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3