CCT 2026 Europe Series 2 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Rune Eaters#114 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 1:2
MASONIC#187 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientMASONIC pick
40%60%
Rune Eaters · 1 mapedge MASONIC +20%MASONIC · 1 map
MirageMASONIC ban
33%50%
Rune Eaters · 2 mapsedge MASONIC +17%MASONIC · 0 maps
NukeRune Eaters pick
40%40%
Rune Eaters · 1 mapnearly even +0%MASONIC · 1 map
OverpassRune Eaters ban
50%40%
Rune Eaters · 0 mapsedge Rune Eaters +10%MASONIC · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanRune Eaters remove Overpass
2. BanMASONIC remove Mirage
3. PickRune Eaters take Nuke
4. PickMASONIC take Ancient
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed12:16
Rune Eaters 53%MASONIC 47%
The model gave 53% on Rune Eaters — the map was taken by MASONIC.
Ancientprediction missed13:7
Rune Eaters 28%MASONIC 72%
The model gave 72% on MASONIC — the map was taken by Rune Eaters.
Infernoprediction missed9:13
Rune Eaters 50%MASONIC 50%
The model gave 50% on Rune Eaters — the map was taken by MASONIC.
Model check result
Model favoriteRune Eaters · 52%
Series resultMASONIC 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 3