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IEM Atlanta 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Natus Vincere#10 in the world · win 2:1
series probability
87%13%
probability at match start · final 2:1
GamerLegion#19 in the world · loss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageGamerLegion ban
67%38%
Natus Vincere · 2 mapsedge Natus Vincere +29%GamerLegion · 4 maps
AncientNatus Vincere pick
71%40%
Natus Vincere · 3 mapsedge Natus Vincere +31%GamerLegion · 1 map
Anubispossible decider
57%50%
Natus Vincere · 3 mapsedge Natus Vincere +7%GamerLegion · 0 maps
InfernoGamerLegion pick
50%57%
Natus Vincere · 0 mapsedge GamerLegion +7%GamerLegion · 3 maps
NukeNatus Vincere ban
40%67%
Natus Vincere · 1 mapedge GamerLegion +27%GamerLegion · 2 maps
Dust2GamerLegion ban
50%50%
Natus Vincere · 2 mapsnearly even +0%GamerLegion · 0 maps
OverpassNatus Vincere ban
50%50%
Natus Vincere · 0 mapsnearly even +0%GamerLegion · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNatus Vincere remove Overpass
2. BanGamerLegion remove Dust2
3. PickNatus Vincere take Ancient
4. PickGamerLegion take Inferno
5. BanGamerLegion remove Mirage
6. BanNatus Vincere remove Nuke
DeciderAnubis (57% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed13:4
Natus Vincere 40%GamerLegion 60%
The model gave 60% on GamerLegion — the map was taken by Natus Vincere.
Ancientprediction missed1:13
Natus Vincere 81%GamerLegion 19%
The model gave 81% on Natus Vincere — the map was taken by GamerLegion.
Mirageprediction correct13:11
Natus Vincere 77%GamerLegion 23%
The model gave 77% on Natus Vincere — the map was taken by Natus Vincere.
Model check result
Model favoriteNatus Vincere · 87%
Series resultNatus Vincere 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3