CCT 2026 Europe Series 2 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
MASONIC#187 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 1:2
G2 Ares#103 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageMASONIC ban
50%56%
MASONIC · 0 mapsedge G2 Ares +6%G2 Ares · 5 maps
AncientMASONIC pick
50%60%
MASONIC · 2 mapsedge G2 Ares +10%G2 Ares · 1 map
Dust2G2 Ares pick
60%67%
MASONIC · 1 mapedge G2 Ares +7%G2 Ares · 2 maps
OverpassMASONIC ban
40%50%
MASONIC · 1 mapedge G2 Ares +10%G2 Ares · 2 maps
InfernoG2 Ares ban
60%40%
MASONIC · 1 mapedge MASONIC +20%G2 Ares · 1 map
NukeG2 Ares ban
40%50%
MASONIC · 1 mapedge G2 Ares +10%G2 Ares · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMASONIC remove Mirage
2. BanG2 Ares remove Nuke
3. PickMASONIC take Ancient
4. PickG2 Ares take Dust2
5. BanG2 Ares remove Inferno
6. BanMASONIC remove Overpass
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct6:13
MASONIC 40%G2 Ares 60%
The model gave 60% on G2 Ares — the map was taken by G2 Ares.
Ancientprediction missed13:10
MASONIC 43%G2 Ares 57%
The model gave 57% on G2 Ares — the map was taken by MASONIC.
Infernoprediction missed8:13
MASONIC 69%G2 Ares 31%
The model gave 69% on MASONIC — the map was taken by G2 Ares.
Model check result
Model favoriteG2 Ares · 61%
Series resultG2 Ares 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3