BetBoom Storm Season 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Galorys#79 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 1:2
LP#65 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Galorys pick
60%40%
Galorys · 1 mapedge Galorys +20%LP · 1 map
AncientLP pick
50%60%
Galorys · 0 mapsedge LP +10%LP · 1 map
InfernoGalorys ban
50%60%
Galorys · 0 mapsedge LP +10%LP · 1 map
NukeLP ban
60%50%
Galorys · 1 mapedge Galorys +10%LP · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGalorys remove Inferno
2. BanLP remove Nuke
3. PickGalorys take Dust2
4. PickLP take Ancient
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct13:2
Galorys 57%LP 43%
The model gave 57% on Galorys — the map was taken by Galorys.
Mirageprediction missed4:13
Galorys 53%LP 47%
The model gave 53% on Galorys — the map was taken by LP.
Ancientprediction correct1:13
Galorys 40%LP 60%
The model gave 60% on LP — the map was taken by LP.
Model check result
Model favoriteGalorys · 51%
Series resultLP 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3