CCT 2026 Europe Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Walczaki#44 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Nemiga#56 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientWalczaki pick
60%67%
Walczaki · 1 mapedge Nemiga +7%Nemiga · 2 maps
DefaultNemiga pick
50%50%
Walczaki · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Nemiga · 0 maps
Dust2Walczaki ban
60%60%
Walczaki · 1 mapnearly even +0%Nemiga · 1 map
MirageNemiga ban
50%40%
Walczaki · 0 mapsedge Walczaki +10%Nemiga · 1 map
NukeNemiga ban
40%50%
Walczaki · 1 mapedge Nemiga +10%Nemiga · 0 maps
OverpassWalczaki ban
50%60%
Walczaki · 0 mapsedge Nemiga +10%Nemiga · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanWalczaki remove Overpass
2. BanNemiga remove Mirage
3. PickWalczaki take Ancient
4. PickNemiga take Default
5. BanNemiga remove Nuke
6. BanWalczaki remove Dust2
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct8:13
Walczaki 47%Nemiga 53%
The model gave 53% on Nemiga — the map was taken by Nemiga.
Nukeprediction missed13:8
Walczaki 43%Nemiga 57%
The model gave 57% on Nemiga — the map was taken by Walczaki.
Ancientprediction correct9:13
Walczaki 43%Nemiga 57%
The model gave 57% on Nemiga — the map was taken by Nemiga.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga · 54%
Series resultNemiga 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3