BetBoom Storm Season 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
MIBR fe#169 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 0:2
paiN Academy#207 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
DefaultMIBR fe ban
50%60%
MIBR fe · 0 mapsedge paiN Academy +10%paiN Academy · 1 map
Dust2paiN Academy ban
50%40%
MIBR fe · 0 mapsedge MIBR fe +10%paiN Academy · 1 map
MirageMIBR fe pick
50%40%
MIBR fe · 0 mapsedge MIBR fe +10%paiN Academy · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMIBR fe remove Default
2. BanpaiN Academy remove Dust2
3. PickMIBR fe take Mirage
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed3:13
MIBR fe 63%paiN Academy 37%
The model gave 63% on MIBR fe — the map was taken by paiN Academy.
Mirageprediction missed5:13
MIBR fe 57%paiN Academy 43%
The model gave 57% on MIBR fe — the map was taken by paiN Academy.
Model check result
Model favoriteMIBR fe · 57%
Series resultpaiN Academy 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 2