CCT 2026 South America Series 2 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Blitzkrieg pick
40%40%
ex-KRÜ · 1 mapnearly even +0%Blitzkrieg · 1 map
Nukeex-KRÜ pick
40%40%
ex-KRÜ · 1 mapnearly even +0%Blitzkrieg · 1 map
Ancientex-KRÜ ban
40%50%
ex-KRÜ · 1 mapedge Blitzkrieg +10%Blitzkrieg · 0 maps
OverpassBlitzkrieg ban
40%50%
ex-KRÜ · 1 mapedge Blitzkrieg +10%Blitzkrieg · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banex-KRÜ remove Ancient
2. BanBlitzkrieg remove Overpass
3. Pickex-KRÜ take Nuke
4. PickBlitzkrieg take Dust2
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:5
ex-KRÜ 47%Blitzkrieg 53%
The model gave 53% on Blitzkrieg — the map was taken by ex-KRÜ.
Nukeprediction correct13:0
ex-KRÜ 53%Blitzkrieg 47%
The model gave 53% on ex-KRÜ — the map was taken by ex-KRÜ.
Model check result
Model favoriteex-KRÜ · 62%
Series resultex-KRÜ 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2