IEM Atlanta 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
B8#17 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Vitality#1 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeB8 ban
50%50%
B8 · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Vitality · 2 maps
OverpassB8 pick
60%60%
B8 · 1 mapnearly even +0%Vitality · 1 map
AncientVitality ban
60%50%
B8 · 1 mapedge B8 +10%Vitality · 0 maps
AnubisVitality ban
50%40%
B8 · 0 mapsedge B8 +10%Vitality · 1 map
Dust2Vitality pick
50%60%
B8 · 0 mapsedge Vitality +10%Vitality · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanB8 remove Nuke
2. BanVitality remove Ancient
3. PickB8 take Overpass
4. PickVitality take Dust2
5. BanVitality remove Anubis
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed5:13
B8 53%Vitality 47%
The model gave 53% on B8 — the map was taken by Vitality.
Dust2prediction correct8:13
B8 37%Vitality 63%
The model gave 63% on Vitality — the map was taken by Vitality.
Model check result
Model favoriteVitality · 50%
Series resultVitality 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2