IEM Atlanta 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
B8#15 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
11%89%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Vitality#2 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Vitality pick
40%67%
B8 · 1 mapedge Vitality +27%Vitality · 5 maps
MirageB8 pick
67%75%
B8 · 2 mapsedge Vitality +8%Vitality · 4 maps
NukeB8 ban
40%63%
B8 · 1 mapedge Vitality +23%Vitality · 4 maps
OverpassVitality ban
67%57%
B8 · 2 mapsedge B8 +10%Vitality · 3 maps
AnubisB8 ban
50%50%
B8 · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Vitality · 2 maps
AncientVitality ban
60%50%
B8 · 1 mapedge B8 +10%Vitality · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanB8 remove Anubis
2. BanVitality remove Ancient
3. PickB8 take Mirage
4. PickVitality take Dust2
5. BanVitality remove Overpass
6. BanB8 remove Nuke
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct5:13
B8 43%Vitality 57%
The model gave 57% on Vitality — the map was taken by Vitality.
Dust2prediction correct8:13
B8 23%Vitality 77%
The model gave 77% on Vitality — the map was taken by Vitality.
Model check result
Model favoriteVitality · 89%
Series resultVitality 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2