BetBoom Storm Season 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Yawara#156 in the world · win 2:0series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 2:0
GUARA#234 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Yawara pick
64%40%
Yawara · 7 mapsedge Yawara +24%GUARA · 1 map
MirageGUARA ban
67%40%
Yawara · 5 mapsedge Yawara +27%GUARA · 1 map
InfernoYawara ban
38%40%
Yawara · 4 mapsnearly even -2%GUARA · 1 map
Anubispossible decider
43%50%
Yawara · 3 mapsedge GUARA +7%GUARA · 0 maps
AncientGUARA pick
33%50%
Yawara · 2 mapsedge GUARA +17%GUARA · 0 maps
DefaultGUARA ban
60%50%
Yawara · 1 mapedge Yawara +10%GUARA · 0 maps
NukeYawara ban
50%40%
Yawara · 0 mapsedge Yawara +10%GUARA · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanYawara remove Nuke
2. BanGUARA remove Mirage
3. PickYawara take Dust2
4. PickGUARA take Ancient
5. BanGUARA remove Default
6. BanYawara remove Inferno
DeciderAnubis (43% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed13:6
Yawara 44%GUARA 56%
The model gave 56% on GUARA — the map was taken by Yawara.
Dust2prediction correct13:4
Yawara 75%GUARA 25%
The model gave 75% on Yawara — the map was taken by Yawara.
Model check result
Model favoriteYawara · 66%
Series resultYawara 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2