CCT 2026 Europe Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
KOLESIE#117 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 0:2
TDK#86 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2TDK pick
40%67%
KOLESIE · 1 mapedge TDK +27%TDK · 5 maps
OverpassKOLESIE pick
50%50%
KOLESIE · 2 mapsnearly even +0%TDK · 2 maps
AncientTDK ban
40%50%
KOLESIE · 1 mapedge TDK +10%TDK · 2 maps
Anubispossible decider
40%50%
KOLESIE · 1 mapedge TDK +10%TDK · 2 maps
InfernoKOLESIE ban
50%33%
KOLESIE · 0 mapsedge KOLESIE +17%TDK · 2 maps
MirageTDK ban
50%50%
KOLESIE · 0 mapsnearly even +0%TDK · 2 maps
DefaultKOLESIE ban
50%60%
KOLESIE · 0 mapsedge TDK +10%TDK · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanKOLESIE remove Inferno
2. BanTDK remove Ancient
3. PickKOLESIE take Overpass
4. PickTDK take Dust2
5. BanTDK remove Mirage
6. BanKOLESIE remove Default
DeciderAnubis (40% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Overpassprediction correct4:13
KOLESIE 47%TDK 53%
The model gave 53% on TDK — the map was taken by TDK.
Ancientprediction correct4:13
KOLESIE 43%TDK 57%
The model gave 57% on TDK — the map was taken by TDK.
Model check result
Model favoriteKOLESIE · 54%
Series resultTDK 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 2