CCT 2026 Europe Series 2 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
aAa#132 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Rune Eaters#114 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2aAa pick
30%40%
aAa · 6 mapsedge Rune Eaters +10%Rune Eaters · 1 map
AncientaAa ban
29%50%
aAa · 3 mapsedge Rune Eaters +21%Rune Eaters · 2 maps
NukeRune Eaters ban
29%40%
aAa · 3 mapsedge Rune Eaters +11%Rune Eaters · 1 map
Infernopossible decider
40%40%
aAa · 1 mapnearly even +0%Rune Eaters · 1 map
MirageRune Eaters pick
50%33%
aAa · 0 mapsedge aAa +17%Rune Eaters · 2 maps
OverpassaAa ban
33%50%
aAa · 2 mapsedge Rune Eaters +17%Rune Eaters · 0 maps
AnubisRune Eaters ban
60%50%
aAa · 1 mapedge aAa +10%Rune Eaters · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanaAa remove Overpass
2. BanRune Eaters remove Anubis
3. PickaAa take Dust2
4. PickRune Eaters take Mirage
5. BanRune Eaters remove Nuke
6. BanaAa remove Ancient
DeciderInferno (40% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed8:13
aAa 53%Rune Eaters 47%
The model gave 53% on aAa — the map was taken by Rune Eaters.
Ancientprediction correct4:13
aAa 26%Rune Eaters 74%
The model gave 74% on Rune Eaters — the map was taken by Rune Eaters.
Model check result
Model favoriteaAa · 58%
Series resultRune Eaters 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2