NODWIN Clutch Series 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
SPARTA#93 in the world · win 2:0series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 2:0
TNC#139 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
Not enough maps played over 3 months to build a veto prediction.
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed13:3
SPARTA 47%TNC 53%
The model gave 53% on TNC — the map was taken by SPARTA.
Dust2prediction correct13:5
SPARTA 53%TNC 47%
The model gave 53% on SPARTA — the map was taken by SPARTA.
Model check result
Model favoriteSPARTA · 55%
Series resultSPARTA 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2