Hero Esports Asian Champions League 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Haunted House#236 in the world · win 2:0series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Change The Game#122 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientChange The Game pick
40%67%
Haunted House · 1 mapedge Change The Game +27%Change The Game · 2 maps
Dust2possible decider
50%40%
Haunted House · 2 mapsedge Haunted House +10%Change The Game · 1 map
AnubisHaunted House pick
67%50%
Haunted House · 2 mapsedge Haunted House +17%Change The Game · 0 maps
InfernoHaunted House ban
50%50%
Haunted House · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Change The Game · 2 maps
NukeChange The Game ban
33%50%
Haunted House · 2 mapsedge Change The Game +17%Change The Game · 0 maps
DefaultHaunted House ban
40%50%
Haunted House · 1 mapedge Change The Game +10%Change The Game · 0 maps
MirageChange The Game ban
50%40%
Haunted House · 0 mapsedge Haunted House +10%Change The Game · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanHaunted House remove Inferno
2. BanChange The Game remove Nuke
3. PickHaunted House take Anubis
4. PickChange The Game take Ancient
5. BanChange The Game remove Mirage
6. BanHaunted House remove Default
DeciderDust2 (50% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed13:6
Haunted House 47%Change The Game 53%
The model gave 53% on Change The Game — the map was taken by Haunted House.
Dust2prediction correct13:9
Haunted House 63%Change The Game 37%
The model gave 63% on Haunted House — the map was taken by Haunted House.
Model check result
Model favoriteChange The Game · 56%
Series resultHaunted House 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2