IEM Atlanta 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM#14 in the world · win 2:1series probability
9%91%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Vitality#2 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Vitality pick
60%63%
BETBOOM · 1 mapnearly even -3%Vitality · 4 maps
MirageBETBOOM ban
40%75%
BETBOOM · 1 mapedge Vitality +35%Vitality · 4 maps
NukeBETBOOM pick
60%67%
BETBOOM · 1 mapedge Vitality +7%Vitality · 2 maps
OverpassVitality ban
50%50%
BETBOOM · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Vitality · 2 maps
AnubisVitality ban
50%60%
BETBOOM · 0 mapsedge Vitality +10%Vitality · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBETBOOM remove Mirage
2. BanVitality remove Anubis
3. PickBETBOOM take Nuke
4. PickVitality take Dust2
5. BanVitality remove Overpass
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed13:10
BETBOOM 43%Vitality 57%
The model gave 57% on Vitality — the map was taken by BETBOOM.
Overpassprediction correct8:13
BETBOOM 47%Vitality 53%
The model gave 53% on Vitality — the map was taken by Vitality.
Nukeprediction missed13:8
BETBOOM 43%Vitality 57%
The model gave 57% on Vitality — the map was taken by BETBOOM.
Model check result
Model favoriteVitality · 91%
Series resultBETBOOM 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3