IEM Atlanta 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Natus Vincere#2 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Legacy#18 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientLegacy ban
40%50%
Natus Vincere · 1 mapedge Legacy +10%Legacy · 0 maps
Dust2Legacy pick
50%60%
Natus Vincere · 0 mapsedge Legacy +10%Legacy · 1 map
InfernoNatus Vincere pick
60%50%
Natus Vincere · 1 mapedge Natus Vincere +10%Legacy · 0 maps
MirageLegacy ban
60%50%
Natus Vincere · 1 mapedge Natus Vincere +10%Legacy · 0 maps
NukeNatus Vincere ban
50%60%
Natus Vincere · 0 mapsedge Legacy +10%Legacy · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNatus Vincere remove Nuke
2. BanLegacy remove Ancient
3. PickNatus Vincere take Inferno
4. PickLegacy take Dust2
5. BanLegacy remove Mirage
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed11:13
Natus Vincere 57%Legacy 43%
The model gave 57% on Natus Vincere — the map was taken by Legacy.
Ancientprediction missed13:8
Natus Vincere 43%Legacy 57%
The model gave 57% on Legacy — the map was taken by Natus Vincere.
Dust2prediction correct6:13
Natus Vincere 40%Legacy 60%
The model gave 60% on Legacy — the map was taken by Legacy.
Model check result
Model favoriteNatus Vincere · 51%
Series resultLegacy 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3