CCT 2026 Europe Series 1 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Nemiga#68 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientNemiga pick
67%71%
Lavked · 2 mapsnearly even -4%Nemiga · 3 maps
MirageNemiga ban
63%40%
Lavked · 4 mapsedge Lavked +23%Nemiga · 1 map
NukeLavked pick
57%40%
Lavked · 3 mapsedge Lavked +17%Nemiga · 1 map
Dust2Lavked ban
40%67%
Lavked · 1 mapedge Nemiga +27%Nemiga · 2 maps
AnubisLavked ban
60%50%
Lavked · 1 mapedge Lavked +10%Nemiga · 0 maps
InfernoNemiga ban
40%50%
Lavked · 1 mapedge Nemiga +10%Nemiga · 0 maps
Overpasspossible decider
50%60%
Lavked · 0 mapsedge Nemiga +10%Nemiga · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLavked remove Dust2
2. BanNemiga remove Mirage
3. PickLavked take Nuke
4. PickNemiga take Ancient
5. BanNemiga remove Inferno
6. BanLavked remove Anubis
DeciderOverpass (50% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed6:13
Lavked 57%Nemiga 43%
The model gave 57% on Lavked — the map was taken by Nemiga.
Mirageprediction missed7:13
Lavked 74%Nemiga 26%
The model gave 74% on Lavked — the map was taken by Nemiga.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga · 58%
Series resultNemiga 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 2