CCT 2026 Europe Series 1 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Nemiga#22 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageLavked pick
70%44%
Lavked · 16 mapsedge Lavked +26%Nemiga · 5 maps
NukeNemiga ban
61%56%
Lavked · 14 mapsedge Lavked +5%Nemiga · 5 maps
Dust2Lavked ban
44%63%
Lavked · 12 mapsedge Nemiga +19%Nemiga · 4 maps
Ancientpossible decider
77%60%
Lavked · 9 mapsedge Lavked +17%Nemiga · 6 maps
InfernoNemiga ban
31%50%
Lavked · 9 mapsedge Nemiga +19%Nemiga · 0 maps
OverpassNemiga pick
60%80%
Lavked · 1 mapedge Nemiga +20%Nemiga · 6 maps
AnubisLavked ban
50%43%
Lavked · 2 mapsedge Lavked +7%Nemiga · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLavked remove Anubis
2. BanNemiga remove Inferno
3. PickLavked take Mirage
4. PickNemiga take Overpass
5. BanNemiga remove Nuke
6. BanLavked remove Dust2
DeciderAncient (77% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed6:13
Lavked 54%Nemiga 46%
The model gave 54% on Lavked — the map was taken by Nemiga.
Mirageprediction missed7:13
Lavked 77%Nemiga 23%
The model gave 77% on Lavked — the map was taken by Nemiga.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga · 52%
Series resultNemiga 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 2