Hero Esports Asian Champions League 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Haunted House#178 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 1:2
THUNDER dOWNUNDER#126 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoHaunted House pick
60%60%
Haunted House · 1 mapnearly even +0%THUNDER dOWNUNDER · 1 map
Dust2THUNDER dOWNUNDER ban
60%50%
Haunted House · 1 mapedge Haunted House +10%THUNDER dOWNUNDER · 0 maps
NukeHaunted House ban
50%60%
Haunted House · 0 mapsedge THUNDER dOWNUNDER +10%THUNDER dOWNUNDER · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanHaunted House remove Nuke
2. BanTHUNDER dOWNUNDER remove Dust2
3. PickHaunted House take Inferno
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct5:13
Haunted House 47%THUNDER dOWNUNDER 53%
The model gave 53% on THUNDER dOWNUNDER — the map was taken by THUNDER dOWNUNDER.
Dust2prediction correct19:17
Haunted House 63%THUNDER dOWNUNDER 37%
The model gave 63% on Haunted House — the map was taken by Haunted House.
Nukeprediction correct6:13
Haunted House 40%THUNDER dOWNUNDER 60%
The model gave 60% on THUNDER dOWNUNDER — the map was taken by THUNDER dOWNUNDER.
Model check result
Model favoriteTHUNDER dOWNUNDER · 55%
Series resultTHUNDER dOWNUNDER 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3