CCT 2026 South America Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Vasco#232 in the world · win 1:0series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Infernopossible decider
50%57%
Vasco · 4 mapsedge Players +7%Players · 3 maps
MiragePlayers pick
50%43%
Vasco · 4 mapsedge Vasco +7%Players · 3 maps
Dust2Vasco ban
44%60%
Vasco · 5 mapsedge Players +16%Players · 1 map
AncientVasco pick
67%43%
Vasco · 2 mapsedge Vasco +24%Players · 3 maps
NukeVasco ban
50%43%
Vasco · 0 mapsedge Vasco +7%Players · 3 maps
DefaultPlayers ban
40%40%
Vasco · 1 mapnearly even +0%Players · 1 map
AnubisPlayers ban
40%50%
Vasco · 1 mapedge Players +10%Players · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanVasco remove Nuke
2. BanPlayers remove Anubis
3. PickVasco take Ancient
4. PickPlayers take Mirage
5. BanPlayers remove Default
6. BanVasco remove Dust2
DeciderInferno (50% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
Vasco 50%Players 50%
The model gave 50% on Vasco — the map was taken by Vasco.
Model check result
Model favoriteVasco · 70%
Series resultVasco 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1