CCT 2026 South America Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Vasco#133 in the world · win 1:0series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 1:0
PPlayers#223 in the world · loss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
DefaultPlayers ban
50%40%
Vasco · 0 mapsedge Vasco +10%Players · 1 map
Dust2Vasco pick
60%50%
Vasco · 1 mapedge Vasco +10%Players · 0 maps
InfernoPlayers pick
40%50%
Vasco · 1 mapedge Players +10%Players · 0 maps
MirageVasco ban
40%50%
Vasco · 1 mapedge Players +10%Players · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanVasco remove Mirage
2. BanPlayers remove Default
3. PickVasco take Dust2
4. PickPlayers take Inferno
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
Vasco 60%Players 40%
The model gave 60% on Vasco — the map was taken by Vasco.
Model check result
Model favoriteVasco · 59%
Series resultVasco 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1