NODWIN Clutch Series 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
MOUZ NXT#132 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
Not enough maps played over 3 months to build a veto prediction.
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct11:13
MOUZ NXT 47%Lavked 53%
The model gave 53% on Lavked — the map was taken by Lavked.
Dust2prediction correct13:2
MOUZ NXT 53%Lavked 47%
The model gave 53% on MOUZ NXT — the map was taken by MOUZ NXT.
Mirageprediction missed14:16
MOUZ NXT 50%Lavked 50%
The model gave 50% on MOUZ NXT — the map was taken by Lavked.
Model check result
Model favoriteLavked · 57%
Series resultLavked 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3