CCT 2026 South America Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
paiN Academy#207 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 0:2
ALKA#209 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2ALKA ban
50%50%
paiN Academy · 2 mapsnearly even +0%ALKA · 0 maps
MirageALKA ban
50%50%
paiN Academy · 2 mapsnearly even +0%ALKA · 0 maps
DefaultpaiN Academy pick
60%50%
paiN Academy · 1 mapedge paiN Academy +10%ALKA · 0 maps
NukepaiN Academy ban
50%60%
paiN Academy · 0 mapsedge ALKA +10%ALKA · 1 map
OverpassALKA pick
50%60%
paiN Academy · 0 mapsedge ALKA +10%ALKA · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanpaiN Academy remove Nuke
2. BanALKA remove Mirage
3. PickpaiN Academy take Default
4. PickALKA take Overpass
5. BanALKA remove Dust2
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed11:13
paiN Academy 53%ALKA 47%
The model gave 53% on paiN Academy — the map was taken by ALKA.
Nukeprediction correct4:13
paiN Academy 37%ALKA 63%
The model gave 63% on ALKA — the map was taken by ALKA.
Model check result
Model favoriteALKA · 51%
Series resultALKA 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2