Tipsport Open Cup 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
GamersLabwin 2:0series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:0
MAYBE#173 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientGamersLab pick
33%29%
GamersLab · 2 mapsnearly even +4%MAYBE · 3 maps
MirageMAYBE pick
33%60%
GamersLab · 2 mapsedge MAYBE +27%MAYBE · 1 map
NukeGamersLab ban
33%60%
GamersLab · 2 mapsedge MAYBE +27%MAYBE · 1 map
AnubisMAYBE ban
50%50%
GamersLab · 0 mapsnearly even +0%MAYBE · 2 maps
Dust2MAYBE ban
60%40%
GamersLab · 1 mapedge GamersLab +20%MAYBE · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGamersLab remove Nuke
2. BanMAYBE remove Dust2
3. PickGamersLab take Ancient
4. PickMAYBE take Mirage
5. BanMAYBE remove Anubis
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:10
GamersLab 72%MAYBE 28%
The model gave 72% on GamersLab — the map was taken by GamersLab.
Mirageprediction missed16:12
GamersLab 23%MAYBE 77%
The model gave 77% on MAYBE — the map was taken by GamersLab.
Model check result
Model favoriteMAYBE · 50%
Series resultGamersLab 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2