IEM Atlanta 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Legacy#7 in the world · win 2:0series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 2:0
M80#27 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientLegacy ban
40%40%
Legacy · 1 mapnearly even +0%M80 · 1 map
AnubisM80 ban
60%40%
Legacy · 1 mapedge Legacy +20%M80 · 1 map
DefaultLegacy ban
50%67%
Legacy · 0 mapsedge M80 +17%M80 · 2 maps
Dust2possible decider
60%60%
Legacy · 1 mapnearly even +0%M80 · 1 map
MirageLegacy pick
60%60%
Legacy · 1 mapnearly even +0%M80 · 1 map
InfernoM80 pick
50%60%
Legacy · 0 mapsedge M80 +10%M80 · 1 map
NukeM80 ban
40%50%
Legacy · 1 mapedge M80 +10%M80 · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLegacy remove Default
2. BanM80 remove Nuke
3. PickLegacy take Mirage
4. PickM80 take Inferno
5. BanM80 remove Anubis
6. BanLegacy remove Ancient
DeciderDust2 (60% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed13:5
Legacy 37%M80 63%
The model gave 63% on M80 — the map was taken by Legacy.
Mirageprediction correct13:7
Legacy 53%M80 47%
The model gave 53% on Legacy — the map was taken by Legacy.
Model check result
Model favoriteLegacy · 53%
Series resultLegacy 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2