Hero Esports Asian Champions League 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Alter Ego#140 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 0:2
THUNDER dOWNUNDER#77 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AnubisAlter Ego ban
50%40%
Alter Ego · 0 mapsedge Alter Ego +10%THUNDER dOWNUNDER · 1 map
Dust2THUNDER dOWNUNDER ban
50%40%
Alter Ego · 0 mapsedge Alter Ego +10%THUNDER dOWNUNDER · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanAlter Ego remove Anubis
2. BanTHUNDER dOWNUNDER remove Dust2
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed7:13
Alter Ego 57%THUNDER dOWNUNDER 43%
The model gave 57% on Alter Ego — the map was taken by THUNDER dOWNUNDER.
Dust2prediction missed8:13
Alter Ego 63%THUNDER dOWNUNDER 37%
The model gave 63% on Alter Ego — the map was taken by THUNDER dOWNUNDER.
Model check result
Model favoriteAlter Ego · 53%
Series resultTHUNDER dOWNUNDER 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 2