PGL Astana 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Monte#19 in the world · win 2:1series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:1
The Huns#111 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoMonte ban
50%60%
Monte · 0 mapsedge The Huns +10%The Huns · 1 map
NukeThe Huns ban
50%60%
Monte · 0 mapsedge The Huns +10%The Huns · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMonte remove Inferno
2. BanThe Huns remove Nuke
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed13:2
Monte 37%The Huns 63%
The model gave 63% on The Huns — the map was taken by Monte.
Dust2prediction missed10:13
Monte 53%The Huns 47%
The model gave 53% on Monte — the map was taken by The Huns.
Mirageprediction correct16:12
Monte 50%The Huns 50%
The model gave 50% on Monte — the map was taken by Monte.
Model check result
Model favoriteThe Huns · 50%
Series resultMonte 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3