NODWIN Clutch Series 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
Betclic#61 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Johnny Speeds#60 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
Not enough maps played over 3 months to build a veto prediction.
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct14:16
Betclic 47%Johnny Speeds 53%
The model gave 53% on Johnny Speeds — the map was taken by Johnny Speeds.
Anubisprediction correct13:5
Betclic 53%Johnny Speeds 47%
The model gave 53% on Betclic — the map was taken by Betclic.
Mirageprediction missed5:13
Betclic 50%Johnny Speeds 50%
The model gave 50% on Betclic — the map was taken by Johnny Speeds.
Model check result
Model favoriteJohnny Speeds · 50%
Series resultJohnny Speeds 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3