PGL Astana 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
K27#35 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 0:2
magic#46 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
Not enough maps played over 3 months to build a veto prediction.
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct9:13
K27 47%magic 53%
The model gave 53% on magic — the map was taken by magic.
Overpassprediction missed19:22
K27 53%magic 47%
The model gave 53% on K27 — the map was taken by magic.
Model check result
Model favoriteK27 · 51%
Series resultmagic 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2