Hero Esports Asian Champions League 2026 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
82%18%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Ground Zero#139 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Miragepossible decider
75%57%
TYLOO · 4 mapsedge TYLOO +18%Ground Zero · 3 maps
AncientGround Zero ban
33%50%
TYLOO · 5 mapsedge Ground Zero +17%Ground Zero · 0 maps
InfernoTYLOO pick
71%67%
TYLOO · 3 mapsnearly even +4%Ground Zero · 2 maps
NukeTYLOO ban
50%57%
TYLOO · 2 mapsedge Ground Zero +7%Ground Zero · 3 maps
AnubisTYLOO ban
50%33%
TYLOO · 0 mapsedge TYLOO +17%Ground Zero · 2 maps
OverpassGround Zero ban
67%50%
TYLOO · 2 mapsedge TYLOO +17%Ground Zero · 0 maps
DefaultGround Zero pick
60%50%
TYLOO · 1 mapedge TYLOO +10%Ground Zero · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanTYLOO remove Nuke
2. BanGround Zero remove Overpass
3. PickTYLOO take Inferno
4. PickGround Zero take Default
5. BanGround Zero remove Ancient
6. BanTYLOO remove Anubis
DeciderMirage (75% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed13:5
TYLOO 40%Ground Zero 60%
The model gave 60% on Ground Zero — the map was taken by TYLOO.
Mirageprediction correct13:4
TYLOO 72%Ground Zero 28%
The model gave 72% on TYLOO — the map was taken by TYLOO.
Model check result
Model favoriteTYLOO · 82%
Series resultTYLOO 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2