GLuck Moscow Cyber Games 2026 Asia Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Chinggis Warriors#116 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Vitalem Aerem#180 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeChinggis Warriors pick
33%50%
Chinggis Warriors · 2 mapsedge Vitalem Aerem +17%Vitalem Aerem · 0 maps
CacheChinggis Warriors ban
40%50%
Chinggis Warriors · 1 mapedge Vitalem Aerem +10%Vitalem Aerem · 0 maps
Dust2Vitalem Aerem pick
40%50%
Chinggis Warriors · 1 mapedge Vitalem Aerem +10%Vitalem Aerem · 0 maps
InfernoVitalem Aerem ban
60%50%
Chinggis Warriors · 1 mapedge Chinggis Warriors +10%Vitalem Aerem · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanChinggis Warriors remove Cache
2. BanVitalem Aerem remove Inferno
3. PickChinggis Warriors take Nuke
4. PickVitalem Aerem take Dust2
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct6:13
Chinggis Warriors 37%Vitalem Aerem 63%
The model gave 63% on Vitalem Aerem — the map was taken by Vitalem Aerem.
Infernoprediction missed8:13
Chinggis Warriors 63%Vitalem Aerem 37%
The model gave 63% on Chinggis Warriors — the map was taken by Vitalem Aerem.
Model check result
Model favoriteChinggis Warriors · 54%
Series resultVitalem Aerem 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2