GLuck Moscow Cyber Games 2026 Asia Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
NEXVOID#102 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Alter Ego#120 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientNEXVOID ban
67%60%
NEXVOID · 2 mapsedge NEXVOID +7%Alter Ego · 1 map
InfernoAlter Ego ban
71%50%
NEXVOID · 3 mapsedge NEXVOID +21%Alter Ego · 0 maps
NukeAlter Ego ban
50%50%
NEXVOID · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Alter Ego · 0 maps
AnubisNEXVOID pick
50%40%
NEXVOID · 0 mapsedge NEXVOID +10%Alter Ego · 1 map
CacheAlter Ego pick
40%50%
NEXVOID · 1 mapedge Alter Ego +10%Alter Ego · 0 maps
MirageNEXVOID ban
50%40%
NEXVOID · 0 mapsedge NEXVOID +10%Alter Ego · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNEXVOID remove Mirage
2. BanAlter Ego remove Inferno
3. PickNEXVOID take Anubis
4. PickAlter Ego take Cache
5. BanAlter Ego remove Nuke
6. BanNEXVOID remove Ancient
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct11:13
NEXVOID 47%Alter Ego 53%
The model gave 53% on Alter Ego — the map was taken by Alter Ego.
Infernoprediction missed11:13
NEXVOID 74%Alter Ego 26%
The model gave 74% on NEXVOID — the map was taken by Alter Ego.
Model check result
Model favoriteAlter Ego · 50%
Series resultAlter Ego 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2