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GLuck Moscow Cyber Games 2026 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Nuclear TigeRES#54 in the world · loss 1:2
series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 1:2
SPARTA#96 in the world · win 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2SPARTA pick
57%69%
Nuclear TigeRES · 10 mapsedge SPARTA +12%SPARTA · 32 maps
AncientNuclear TigeRES pick
62%39%
Nuclear TigeRES · 9 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +23%SPARTA · 19 maps
Nukepossible decider
56%53%
Nuclear TigeRES · 12 mapsnearly even +3%SPARTA · 15 maps
MirageNuclear TigeRES ban
38%52%
Nuclear TigeRES · 4 mapsedge SPARTA +14%SPARTA · 19 maps
AnubisSPARTA ban
71%43%
Nuclear TigeRES · 13 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +28%SPARTA · 3 maps
InfernoSPARTA ban
71%47%
Nuclear TigeRES · 3 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +24%SPARTA · 11 maps
CacheNuclear TigeRES ban
50%54%
Nuclear TigeRES · 0 mapsnearly even -4%SPARTA · 9 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNuclear TigeRES remove Mirage
2. BanSPARTA remove Anubis
3. PickNuclear TigeRES take Ancient
4. PickSPARTA take Dust2
5. BanSPARTA remove Inferno
6. BanNuclear TigeRES remove Cache
DeciderNuke (56% / 53%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction missed13:4
Nuclear TigeRES 43%SPARTA 57%
The model gave 57% on SPARTA — the map was taken by Nuclear TigeRES.
Ancientprediction missed19:22
Nuclear TigeRES 74%SPARTA 26%
The model gave 74% on Nuclear TigeRES — the map was taken by SPARTA.
Nukeprediction missed10:13
Nuclear TigeRES 54%SPARTA 46%
The model gave 54% on Nuclear TigeRES — the map was taken by SPARTA.
Model check result
Model favoriteNuclear TigeRES · 68%
Series resultSPARTA 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 3