GLuck Moscow Cyber Games 2026 Asia Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Kaleido#154 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 1:2
5star#35 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientKaleido pick
50%22%
Kaleido · 4 mapsedge Kaleido +28%5star · 5 maps
Infernopossible decider
43%38%
Kaleido · 3 mapsedge Kaleido +5%5star · 4 maps
Cache5star pick
40%63%
Kaleido · 1 mapedge 5star +23%5star · 4 maps
NukeKaleido ban
60%50%
Kaleido · 1 mapedge Kaleido +10%5star · 4 maps
Mirage5star ban
50%50%
Kaleido · 2 mapsnearly even +0%5star · 2 maps
Dust25star ban
57%50%
Kaleido · 3 mapsedge Kaleido +7%5star · 0 maps
AnubisKaleido ban
50%60%
Kaleido · 0 mapsedge 5star +10%5star · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanKaleido remove Nuke
2. Ban5star remove Dust2
3. PickKaleido take Ancient
4. Pick5star take Cache
5. Ban5star remove Mirage
6. BanKaleido remove Anubis
DeciderInferno (43% / 38%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct13:8
Kaleido 80%5star 20%
The model gave 80% on Kaleido — the map was taken by Kaleido.
Nukeprediction missed7:13
Kaleido 57%5star 43%
The model gave 57% on Kaleido — the map was taken by 5star.
Infernoprediction missed10:13
Kaleido 56%5star 44%
The model gave 56% on Kaleido — the map was taken by 5star.
Model check result
Model favorite5star · 55%
Series result5star 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3