GLuck Moscow Cyber Games 2026 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Nuclear TigeRES#54 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 0:2
FORZE Reload#75 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeFORZE Reload pick
53%57%
Nuclear TigeRES · 13 mapsnearly even -4%FORZE Reload · 3 maps
AnubisNuclear TigeRES pick
71%50%
Nuclear TigeRES · 13 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +21%FORZE Reload · 2 maps
Dust2FORZE Reload ban
57%57%
Nuclear TigeRES · 10 mapsnearly even +0%FORZE Reload · 3 maps
Ancientpossible decider
57%67%
Nuclear TigeRES · 10 mapsedge FORZE Reload +10%FORZE Reload · 2 maps
MirageNuclear TigeRES ban
38%50%
Nuclear TigeRES · 4 mapsedge FORZE Reload +12%FORZE Reload · 4 maps
CacheNuclear TigeRES ban
60%57%
Nuclear TigeRES · 1 mapnearly even +3%FORZE Reload · 3 maps
InfernoFORZE Reload ban
71%50%
Nuclear TigeRES · 3 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +21%FORZE Reload · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNuclear TigeRES remove Mirage
2. BanFORZE Reload remove Inferno
3. PickNuclear TigeRES take Anubis
4. PickFORZE Reload take Nuke
5. BanFORZE Reload remove Dust2
6. BanNuclear TigeRES remove Cache
DeciderAncient (57% / 67%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct9:13
Nuclear TigeRES 47%FORZE Reload 53%
The model gave 53% on FORZE Reload — the map was taken by FORZE Reload.
Anubisprediction missed3:13
Nuclear TigeRES 73%FORZE Reload 27%
The model gave 73% on Nuclear TigeRES — the map was taken by FORZE Reload.
Model check result
Model favoriteNuclear TigeRES · 70%
Series resultFORZE Reload 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2